Adam Carlson
Almost definitely overly simplistic but “whoever can stay out of the news more is probably going to win” is probably one of the better working theories for 2024
Jacob Rubashkin
Could be noise, but: Post 1/6, Trump was at his least popular in the summer of 2023, as he was hit with 4 indictments in quick succession. He regained all of that back and more, to a peak of -7.9 net fav 2/24. As the trial/gen elex finally begins, he's dropped 3.4 in 6 weeks.
