Andrii Sybiha 🇺🇦
Here are a few independently verified figures about the frontline dynamics, showing that Russia is not winning and will not win this war: - According to open sources, the net balance between areas occupied by Russia and those liberated by Ukraine in August 2026 was roughly +5 square kilometers. While the figure is approximate, the trend is clear. Meanwhile, Moscow lost at least 42,000 troops killed and wounded—one of its highest monthly casualty rates of the war. - Open-source data shows that in August 2026 alone, in response to Russian attacks, there were a record 70 successful Ukrainian long-range sanctions against legitimate military targets in Russia (5 more than in July). - Over the first eight months of 2026, the average pace of Russia’s already slow advance was 3.5 times slower than in 2025. Russia has occupied less than 0.2% of additional Ukrainian territory this year. - Even in the Donbas, where Russian forces concentrate most of their effort, Russia has failed to achieve an operational breakthrough and still does not control 20% of the Donetsk region. At its current pace, it would take the Russian occupiers over two years to capture that remaining land. Whatever fabricated maps Russian generals present to Putin, the reality on the ground shows that he is not winning and will not win this war. Given the situation in the Russian economy and its inability to counter Ukraine’s long-range sanctions, things will only get worse for Russia. Yes, it’s very difficult for Ukraine as well. For our warriors, frontline communities, and all of our country. We are in the fifth year of full-scale war that we didn’t choose. Every family has been scarred by it in one way or another. But clearly, Moscow is not in a strong position either. And certainly not in a position to dictate terms.