Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan on 🟦☁️)
Rally effects are largely driven by cues from the *opposition*, which temporarily stands down and supports the president. Trump made no case for war and rallied no Ds to his side.
Peter Baker
Americans skipped the rally-around-the-president stage this time. JFK gained 13 points after Cuban Missile Crisis, LBJ 8 after bombing Hanoi, GHW Bush 18 during Gulf War, GW Bush 8 after Saddam captured, Obama 11 after OBL killed. Trump gained 0 since Iran https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/06/us/politics/trump-iran-war-public-support.html