Prof. Eliot Jacobson

@eliotjacobson · Twitter · 2026-09-08 12:57 UTC

Here's the latest CFSv2 model run as of September 8, showing El Nino peaking at 3.97°C over the 1991-2020 baseline in November, with a 90% confidence interval for the maximum [3.65°C, 4.30°C]. The Climate Casino is taking the UNDER on 3.97°C.