FDD
Insight by @JoeTruzman: "As it stands today, Hamas views the ceasefire deal’s terms as sufficient for maintaining its control over the Gaza Strip. However, the interval between the first and second phases of the ceasefire could prove to be the most challenging for the group. During this time, Hamas and Israel will negotiate for the second phase of the agreement. If these talks falter, Israel, bolstered by U.S. support, may resume hostilities. In that scenario, Hamas would be without 33 hostages — a vital bargaining chip against Israel — and find itself back at war, a situation it wants to avoid."
FDD
Hostage Recovery Deal Approved by Israeli Security Cabinet, Awaits Official Government Vote New analysis from @mdubowitz and @JoeTruzman: https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2025/01/17/hostage-recovery-deal-approved-by-israeli-security-cabinet-awaits-official-government-vote/