Crucial emerging factor in midterms: Even in red areas, strong disapproval of Trump is vastly outweighing strong approval of him. This is a key reason the map is expanding into redder areas. The intensity gap is remarkable. I wrote about it here: https://newrepublic.com/article/215111/maga-dimwit-james-comer-blurts-bombshell-trump-badly-screwing-gop