ian bremmer
former chief scientist of uk ai security institute gives us a coin flip. upside: elon’s “money won’t matter by 2036” fits nicely into this scenario.
Geoffrey Irving
I think we have a ~50% chance of all dying as a result of superintelligence, mostly due to actions in the next few to 10 years. I don't expect to have that resolved to below 10% or above 90% before we either make it through, or we don't. We will have to act despite uncertainty.