Hamas and negotiations: The statement published by Hamas today, claiming that Israel bombed the location where American hostage Edan Alexander was allegedly being held, is yet another demonstration of the group's continued use of misinformation and manipulation to serve its agenda. Furthermore, there exists a misguided belief that Hamas is a trustworthy actor when it comes to honoring the terms of a hostage deal — namely, that it will release all remaining hostages in exchange for Palestinian prisoners, humanitarian aid, and a guarantee of continued governance in Gaza after the war. I believe this line of thinking is fundamentally flawed and overlooks that Israel is dealing with a terrorist group that will leverage any opportunity it has. One must look at the big picture to try to understand what Hamas is trying to achieve. Yes, Palestinian prisoners are important to Hamas. However, the group has other priorities as well. It's wanted the blockade by Israel lifted, and I am sure the Egyptian one, too. In the past, Hamas has expressed a desire for a seaport and an airport. Sinwar said before October 7 that Hamas was working with other parties to establish a maritime route to Gaza. There are also offshore gas reserves. Hamas may release most of the captives in a deal, but with a few hostages in their possession, it could easily suspend the deal and demand new concessions. Hamas could prolong renewed negotiations for years to ensure its survival, regeneration, and economic improvement. I believe Hamas is fully capable of doing whatever it takes to maintain control over Gaza and improving the group's economic position. There is no guaranteed assurance that Hamas will release all the hostages under any negotiated agreement. It is crucial to keep this reality in mind when approaching hostage negotiations, as misplaced trust could lead to devastating consequences.
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