Matt Grossmann
Our YouGov-based survey has Harris up 4 or 5 in Michigan: https://ippsr.msu.edu/news/msu-survey-harris-leading-michigan Michiganders also expect Harris to win: https://ippsr.msu.edu/sites/default/files/soss/soss_election_mini_report.pdf Some oddities compared to other surveys: no gender gap, strong age gradient, more knowledge