Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA

Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA

@michael_hoerger · Twitter ·

1/ PMC COVID-19 Tracker, Dec 18, 2023 We are headed into potentially the 2nd largest COVID surge all-time in the U.S. If #wastewater levels follow historic trends, we will reach 2 million infections/day at peak surge with 4.2% of the population actively infectious on Jan 10.

U.S. Winter 2023-24 COVID Surge				
	Best Estimate		Range	

Rank among COVID waves	2nd		2nd	4th

Date of peak	Jan 10		Jan 3	Jan 17

Daily infections at peak	2.0 million/day		1.7 million/day	2.2 million/day

Percentage of population infectious at peak	4.2% (1 in 24)		3.7% (1 in 27)	4.6% (1 in 22)