Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA

Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA

@michael_hoerger · Twitter ·

PMC COVlD Update, Week of Aug 29, 2026 ▪️Outbreaks in 29 states/territories (see Alt) ▪️A projected 13th wave is under way ▪️1 in 95 Americans estimated actively infectious ▪️Peak anticipated around Labor Day THREAD 🧵(1/4)

The US has at least 29 states/territories with COVlD outbreaks. These include much of Hawai’i, Alaska, Washington, California, Nevada, Arizona, New Mexico, Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Florida, Guam, Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, West Virginia, New Jersey, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, and Maine. There are likely outbreaks in additional states. The summary statistic of 29 only includes counties with observed data, rather than estimated data. All of the data in Oregon are at least a week old, and while we do not count the state among the 29, we estimate there are likely outbreaks there as well, given proximity to WA, CA, and NV. Levels in some Texas counties are so high – on par with the national peak of BA.1 Omicron – that it drives up estimates for counties in neighboring states that lack CDC wastewater monitoring systems.