VoteHub

@votehub · Twitter · 2026-09-14 13:41 UTC

RACE RATING CHANGE: Texas U.S. Senate 🟡 Tossup → 🔵 Tilt D Our model gives James Talarico (D) a 55% chance of defeating Ken Paxton (R). Talarico has consistently led in polling, but his advantage remains within the margin of error, and the race is still extremely close.