Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb · Twitter ·

They are starting to understand the base rate fallacy, but not consistent in applying to Lp(a). The article's author did not understand that if it "does not improve" at the population level it is because it raises the risk of some and lowers that of others unless I am missing something in the data. The unconditional probability remains invariant.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

If your Lp(a) is normal, then the ApoB target is not the "recommended" target --simple base rate fallacy. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BI91CTaxTeA

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