In reply to @vitaliikl

If these ideas are interesting, new, or confusing, I recommend the Statistical Rethinking book + course by @rlmcelreath https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FdnMWdICdRs&list=PLDcUM9US4XdPz-KxHM4XHt7uUVGWWVSus and The Book of Why by @yudapearl.